Sacramento State Hornets vs UC Davis Aggies Matchup

Read on to get betting odds and analysis in our UC Davis vs Sacramento State NCAA Basketball prediction and preview and see who we think will win and cover the spread in Sacramento.

UC Davis vs Sacramento State Prediction

Planning on watching today's Aggies and Hornets game? Catch the action at The Hornets Nest in Sacramento, CA, as the Hornets hosts this showdown at 10:00 ET on ESPN+. UC Davis comes into this non-conference matchup as the -7.5 point favorite. The over/under line currently sits at 137 points.

UC Davis vs. Sacramento State Matchup At A Glance

Sport: NCAAB
Teams: UC Davis Aggies at Sacramento State Hornets
Where: Sacramento at The Hornets Nest
Date: Saturday, December 14th
Betting Odds UCDV -7.5, UCDV -292 | SACST +232 O/U 137

Aggies Preview: Is a Road Win Possible for UC Davis?

UC Davis evened their record at 4-4 after a 71-60 win over UC Santa Barbara on Saturday. The Aggies were +2.5 point underdogs but covered the spread with the victory.

After a 28-28 tie at halftime, UC Davis took control in the second half, outscoring the Gauchos 43-32. The game’s total points of 131 fell short of the 145.5 O/U line.

Aggies Offense Breakdown

UC Davis put up 71 points in their last game, shooting 41.5% from the field and 39.1% from beyond the arc, connecting on 9 of 23 three-point attempts. Their effective field goal percentage was 49.1%, and they were solid at the free-throw line, hitting 78.3% of their shots (18/23).

Ty Johnson led the Aggies with 23 points and 8 rebounds, though he missed all 3 of his three-point attempts. Kenny Pohto and Stephan Swenson each added 16 points, with Swenson hitting 4 of 10 from deep. Niko Rocak was perfect from three, going 2 for 2, and contributed 10 rebounds and 4 assists.

Aggies Team Defense

UC Davis held their opponent to 60 points, with the defense allowing a 41% shooting performance on 22 of 53 attempts. Inside the arc, the Aggies gave up 13 of 30 shooting, which is 43%.

From three-point range, the Aggies allowed 9 of 23 shooting, or 39%. They also sent their opponent to the free-throw line 23 times, where they converted 18 for 78%. UC Davis gave up 8 offensive rebounds.

Hornets Preview: Can the Hornets Pull Out the Win as Home Underdogs?

Sacramento State's season struggles continued with a 70-60 loss to Omaha on Saturday, dropping their record to 1-7. The Hornets were slight favorites at -1 but failed to cover the spread. The game’s total points of 130 fell short of the 137.5 O/U line.

After trailing 38-27 at halftime, Sacramento State showed some fight in the second half, outscoring Omaha 33-32, but it wasn’t enough to turn the game around.

Hornets Offense Breakdown

In their latest game, Sacramento State managed just 60 points, shooting 35.6% from the field. Their effective field goal percentage was 44.4%, with 8 made threes on 26 attempts, hitting at a 30.8% rate. From inside the arc, they shot 42.1% (8/19).

At the free-throw line, the Hornets connected on 20 of 26 attempts, shooting 76.9%. Marquel Sutton led the way with 23 points and 8 rebounds, shooting 52.9% overall and 2/3 from deep. Jacob Holt and Tony Osburn each added 15 points, with Holt hitting 3 of 7 from three-point range.

Hornets Team Defense

Even though Sacramento State gave up 70 points, they held their opponent to just 35% shooting from the field, allowing 16 made field goals on 45 attempts. Inside the arc, the Hornets' defense limited their opponent to 42% shooting, with 8 makes on 19 two-point attempts.

From three-point range, Sacramento State's defense allowed 8 threes on 26 attempts, a 30% shooting rate. They also sent their opponent to the free-throw line 26 times, where they made 20, shooting 76%. The Hornets gave up 9 offensive rebounds in the game.

Aggies vs Hornets Betting Odds, Trends & Analysis

In their last ten games away from home, the Aggies have a straight up record of 5-5 while going 5-5 vs. the spread. The team averaged 69 points per game in this stretch.
In their last five home games, Sacramento State has averaged 62 points per game while allowing 70. The team's record in this stretch was 1-4 while going 3-2.
As the betting underdog, the Hornets have an ATS mark of just 7-3 in their last ten games. Sacramento State posted a straight up mark of 3-7 in these matchups.
Through their last three games as the favorite, the Aggies have an ATS record of 2-1 and a straight up mark of 2-1.