Mississippi State Bulldogs vs Ole Miss Rebels Matchup

Read on to get betting odds and analysis in our Ole Miss vs Mississippi State NCAA Basketball prediction and preview and see who we think will win and cover the spread in Starkville.

Ole Miss vs Mississippi State Prediction

Planning on watching today's Rebels and Bulldogs game? Catch the action at Humphrey Coliseum in Starkville, MS, as the Bulldogs hosts this showdown at 6:00 ET on ESPN2. The odds for this Southeastern conference game currently have Mississippi State as the -5.5 point favorite with the over/under line sitting at 145.5 points.

Ole Miss vs. Mississippi State Matchup At A Glance

Sport: NCAAB
Teams: Ole Miss Rebels at Mississippi State Bulldogs
Where: Starkville at Humphrey Coliseum
Date: Saturday, January 18th
Betting Odds MSPST -5.5, MISS +175 | MSPST -216 O/U 145.5

Rebels Preview: Does Ole Miss Have What it Takes to Win as Road Underdogs?

Ole Miss Rebels Recent Game/Games

Ole Miss improved to 15-2 on the season with a 74-64 win over Alabama on Tuesday. The Rebels were +12 underdogs going into the game and not only pulled off the upset but also covered the spread.

After trailing 36-32 at halftime, Ole Miss clamped down defensively, holding Alabama to just 28 points in the second half while scoring 42 of their own. The game’s total points of 138 fell well below the O/U line of 162.5.

Rebels Offense Breakdown

In their latest game, Ole Miss put up 74 points, shooting 38.6% from the field and 28.6% from three-point range. Their effective field goal percentage was 42.9%, and they hit 87.5% of their free throws, going 14-for-16 from the line.

Malik Dia led the way with 23 points and 19 rebounds, shooting 52.4% overall. Aden Holloway added 15 points on 5-of-6 shooting, while Jaylen Murray and Jaemyn Brakefield each contributed 13 points.

Rebels Team Defense

Ole Miss held their opponent to 64 points, with the Rebels allowing a 42% shooting performance from the field. The opposing team connected on 15 of 27 two-point attempts, shooting 55%.

From beyond the arc, Ole Miss limited their opponent to 5 made threes on 20 attempts, a 25% shooting clip. The Rebels also sent them to the free-throw line 26 times, where they converted 19 free throws, shooting 73%. Ole Miss gave up just 4 offensive rebounds.

Bulldogs Preview: Will Mississippi State Live Up to Expectations at Home?

Mississippi State Bulldogs Recent Game/Games

Mississippi State’s season record dropped to 14-3 after an 88-66 road loss to Auburn on Tuesday. The Bulldogs entered the game as +7.5 point underdogs and failed to cover the spread. The total points for the game reached 154, surpassing the over/under line of 150.5.

Mississippi State fell behind early, trailing 46-27 at halftime. While they scored 39 points in the second half, they couldn’t slow down Auburn, who put up 42 points after the break.

Bulldogs Offense Breakdown

Mississippi State struggled offensively in their last game, shooting just 34.9% from the field and 12.5% from three-point range, hitting only 3 of 24 attempts. Their effective field goal percentage was 38.1%, but they managed to grab 20 offensive rebounds and hit 19 of 27 free throws, shooting 70.4% from the line.

Chad Baker-Mazara led the way with 20 points, hitting 3 of 5 threes and shooting 72.7% overall. Chaney Johnson added 17 points and 8 rebounds, shooting 70% from the field, while Josh Hubbard also scored 17 points, despite shooting just 2 of 12 overall and 2 of 10 from three.

Bulldogs Team Defense

Mississippi State struggled defensively, giving up 88 points on 55% shooting from the field. Their interior defense was particularly vulnerable, allowing opponents to hit 63% of their two-point attempts (23/36).

From beyond the arc, Mississippi State's defense allowed 10 threes on 24 attempts, a 41% shooting rate. They also sent the opposing team to the line 15 times, where they converted 12 free throws (80%).

Rebels vs Bulldogs Betting Odds, Trends & Analysis

Although Ole Miss has a straight up record of 5-5 in their last ten road games, they have not held up as well vs the spread going 6-4. The team averaged 75 points per game in these games.
In their last three home games, Mississippi State has averaged 73 points per game while allowing 72. The team's record in this stretch was 2-1 while going 2-1 vs. the spread.
The last ten games that Ole Miss was the underdog, they have an ATS mark of 5-5 while going 4-6 straight up.
Mississippi State has done well both straight up and vs the spread when favored to win the game, going 4-1 SU and 4-1 ATS in their last five games.