LSU Tigers vs SMU Mustangs Matchup

Read on to get betting odds and analysis in our LSU vs SMU NCAA Basketball prediction and preview and see who we think will win and cover the spread in Frisco.

LSU vs SMU Prediction

The Tigers and Mustangs are set to face off at 4:00 ET on ESPNU. The Mustangs will host the game at Comerica Center in Frisco, TX. The over/under line for this matchup is currently at 154 points, and SMU is favored by -4 at home against LSU.

LSU vs. SMU Matchup At A Glance

Sport: NCAAB
Teams: LSU Tigers at SMU Mustangs
Where: Frisco at Comerica Center
Date: Saturday, December 14th
Betting Odds SMU -4, LSU +153 | SMU -188 O/U 154

Tigers Preview: Will the Tigers Secure A Victory as Road Underdogs?

LSU moved to 8-1 on the season with an 80-71 win over Florida Gulf Coast on Sunday. The Tigers were -14.5 favorites at home but didn’t cover the spread. The total points for the game were 151, surpassing the O/U line of 140.5.

LSU led 42-27 at halftime, but their defense faltered in the 2nd half, allowing 44 points while scoring 38 themselves.

Tigers Offense Breakdown

LSU's offense put up 80 points in their last game, shooting 50% from the field and posting an effective field goal percentage of 56.9%. They were dominant inside, hitting 67.7% of their two-point attempts, while their three-point shooting lagged at 29.6% (8/27). At the free-throw line, they were nearly perfect, connecting on 87.5% of their attempts (14/16).

Corey Chest was a force on the boards, grabbing 12 rebounds to go along with 12 points on 6/7 shooting. Daimion Collins led the team with 18 points, shooting 61.5% from the field, while Rahmir Barno added 15 points, hitting 70% of his shots. Cam Carter and Rory Stewart both hit 50% from beyond the arc, with Carter adding 5 assists.

Tigers Team Defense

Despite LSU allowing 71 points, their defense struggled to contain the opposition, who shot 50% from the field, including a strong 67% from two-point range, converting 21 of 31 attempts.

From beyond the arc, LSU held the other team to 29% shooting, with 8 made threes on 27 attempts. The Tigers also sent them to the line 16 times, where they hit 14 free throws, an 87% clip. LSU gave up 11 offensive rebounds.

Mustangs Preview: Will SMU Pull Through as the Favored Home Team?

SMU Mustangs Recent Game/Games

SMU improved to 8-2 on the season with a 63-51 win over Virginia on Saturday. The Mustangs were -9.5 favorites going into the game and covered the spread with the win.

SMU led 30-28 at halftime and held Virginia to just 23 points in the second half while scoring 33 of their own. The total points for the game were 114, well under the O/U line of 135.5.

Mustangs Offense Breakdown

In their latest game, the SMU Mustangs put up 63 points, shooting 42% from the field. Their effective field goal percentage was 48%, with a strong performance inside, hitting 60% of their two-point attempts. However, they struggled from beyond the arc, connecting on just 24% of their threes, going 6-for-25.

Kario Oquendo led the way with 21 points, shooting 60% overall and hitting 4-of-6 from deep. Isaac McKneely added 17 points, making 4-of-8 from three, while Samet Yiğitoğlu was nearly perfect, shooting 7-of-8 from the field for 16 points. The Mustangs also hit 75% from the free-throw line, going 15-for-20, and grabbed 8 offensive rebounds, with 13 assists as a team.

Mustangs Team Defense

SMU's defense held their opponent to 51 points, even though they shot 42% from the field. The Mustangs allowed 15 two-point baskets on 25 attempts, a 60% shooting rate.

From beyond the arc, SMU limited their opponent to 6 threes on 25 attempts, a 24% success rate. The Mustangs also sent them to the line 20 times, where they made 15 free throws, shooting 75%.

Tigers vs Mustangs Betting Odds, Trends & Analysis

When looking at their past three road matchups, LSU has an ATS record of 2-1 while averaging 78 per game. The team went 2-1 overall in these games.
Through their last five home games, SMU has an ATS record of just 1-4. However, their overall record was 1-4 while averaging 75 points per game.
Spanning across their last five games as the betting underdog, the Tigers have gone 1-4 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 1-4.
In their last three games as the betting favorite, the Mustangs have a strong straight up record of 3-0. In addition, their ATS record was 3-0 in these scenarios.