George Mason Patriots vs Massachusetts Minutemen Matchup

Read on to get betting odds and analysis in our Massachusetts vs George Mason NCAA Basketball prediction and preview and see who we think will win and cover the spread in Fairfax.

Massachusetts vs George Mason Prediction

Making on a bet on this NCAA game featuring the Minutemen versus the Patriots? Tip off is at at 2:00 ET, and you can watch it all unfold on ESPN+. The game will be played at EagleBank Arena in Fairfax, VA. The over/under for this Atlantic 10 conference contest is set at 138.5 points, with George Mason being favored by -10.5 at home against Massachusetts.

Massachusetts vs. George Mason Matchup At A Glance

Sport: NCAAB
Teams: Massachusetts Minutemen at George Mason Patriots
Where: Fairfax at EagleBank Arena
Date: Saturday, January 11th
Betting Odds GMSN -10.5, UMASS +425 | GMSN -600 O/U 138.5

Minutemen Preview: Will Massachusetts Come Through as Road Underdogs?

Massachusetts improved to 5-10 on the season after a 76-72 win over Dayton on Wednesday. The Minutemen were +10.5 underdogs going into the game but managed to pull off the upset at home.

UMass trailed 39-36 at halftime but turned things around in the second half, outscoring Dayton 40-33. The total points for the game hit 148, just over the 147.5-point line.

Minutemen Offense Breakdown

In their latest game, the Minutemen scored 76 points, shooting 45% from the field. Their effective field goal percentage was 46.7%, with a strong 60% on two-point shots (24/40), but they struggled from beyond the arc, hitting just 3 of 20 attempts (15%). At the free-throw line, they were nearly perfect, making 19 of 20 shots (95%).

Daniel Rivera led the way with 23 points and 12 rebounds, shooting 61.5% overall. Rahsool Diggins, Nate Santos, and Marqui Worthy each added 18 points, with Diggins hitting 3 threes despite shooting 25% from deep. Worthy was efficient, shooting 63.6% from the field.

Minutemen Team Defense

Massachusetts gave up 72 points in their last game, with the opposing team shooting 45% from the field. The Minutemen struggled to defend inside, allowing 24 two-point baskets on 40 attempts, a 60% conversion rate.

From beyond the arc, Massachusetts held their opponent to just 3 made threes on 20 attempts, a 15% shooting performance. However, they sent the other team to the free-throw line 20 times, where they converted 19, shooting 95%. The Minutemen also allowed 13 offensive rebounds.

Patriots Preview: Does George Mason Have a Shot at a Home Win?

George Mason Patriots Recent Game/Games

George Mason improved to 10-5 on the season with a 64-58 win over Richmond on Wednesday. The Patriots were -12 favorites going into the game but didn’t cover the spread.

After trailing 32-28 at halftime, George Mason’s defense stepped up in the 2nd half, allowing just 26 points while scoring 36. The game’s total points of 122 fell short of the 130.5 O/U line.

Patriots Offense Breakdown

George Mason's offense struggled in their last game, shooting just 38.6% from the field and finishing with 64 points. Their effective field goal percentage was 45.5%, and they hit 35% from three-point range, going 7-for-20.

Free-throw shooting was a bright spot, as they connected on 82.1% of their attempts, making 23-of-28. Woody Newton and Apostolos Roumoglou both shot 60% from beyond the arc, with Newton hitting 3-of-5 and Roumoglou doing the same.

Patriots Team Defense

Despite sending the Patriots to the line 28 times, George Mason's defense held strong, allowing just 58 points. They limited their opponent to 38% shooting from the field, with George Mason hitting 17 of 44 shots.

Inside the arc, George Mason shot 41%, making 10 of 24 two-point attempts. From three-point range, they went 7 for 20, shooting 35%.

Minutemen vs Patriots Betting Odds, Trends & Analysis

In their last ten games away from home, the Minutemen have a straight up record of 4-6 while going 6-4 vs. the spread. The team averaged 68 points per game in this stretch.
Through their last three home contests, the Patriots offense has averaged 57 points per game while allowing an average of 63. George Mason posted an overall record of 1-2 while going 1-2 ATS.
Spanning across their last three games as the betting underdog, the Minutemen have gone 2-1 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 1-2.
Spanning across their last ten games as the betting favorite, the Patriots have gone 5-5 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 8-2.