Evansville Aces vs Valparaiso Beacons Matchup

Read on to get betting odds and analysis in our Evansville vs Valparaiso NCAA Basketball prediction and preview and see who we think will win and cover the spread in Valparaiso.

Evansville vs Valparaiso Prediction

Planning on watching today's Aces and Beacons game? Catch the action at Athletics-Recreation Center in Valparaiso, IN, as the Beacons hosts this showdown at 4:00 ET on ESPN+. The over/under for this Missouri Valley conference contest is set at 140.5 points, with Valparaiso being favored by -6.5 at home against Evansville.

Evansville vs. Valparaiso Matchup At A Glance

Sport: NCAAB
Teams: Evansville Aces at Valparaiso Beacons
Where: Valparaiso at Athletics-Recreation Center
Date: Saturday, January 25th
Betting Odds VALP -6.5, EVANS +235 | VALP -295 O/U 140.5

Aces Preview: Can the Aces Grab a Win on the Road?

Evansville Aces Recent Game/Games

Evansville dropped to 5-14 on the season after a 78-67 loss to UIC on Wednesday. The Aces, who were +5.5 point underdogs, failed to cover the spread in the home game.

Evansville trailed 47-32 at halftime but tightened up defensively in the second half, outscoring UIC 35-31. The combined points of 145 went over the 142.5 total line.

Aces Offense Breakdown

Evansville's offense put up 67 points in their last game, shooting 45.9% from the field. They struggled from beyond the arc, hitting just 4 of 20 attempts for 20%, leading to an effective field goal percentage of 49.2%. At the free-throw line, they connected on only 7 of 13 attempts, shooting 53.8%.

Inside the arc, the Aces were efficient, making 24 of 41 two-point attempts for 58.5%. They recorded 17 assists, with Tayshawn Comer dishing out 8 to go along with his 18 points. Jordan Mason led the team with 19 points and 5 assists, while Ahmad Henderson II added 16 points, hitting 3 of 5 from three-point range.

Aces Team Defense

Evansville's defense gave up 78 points in their last game, with the opposing team shooting 45% from the field. Most of the damage came from inside the arc, where they allowed 24 two-point baskets on 41 attempts, a 58% shooting rate.

From three-point range, Evansville held their opponent to just 4 made threes on 20 attempts, a 20% shooting performance. The Aces also sent them to the free-throw line 13 times, where they converted 7 shots, shooting 53% from the stripe. Evansville gave up 8 offensive rebounds.

Beacons Preview: Can the Beacons Grab a Win at Home?

Valparaiso Beacons Recent Game/Games

Valparaiso dropped to 8-10 on the season after an 81-71 road loss to Drake on Wednesday. Despite being +13.5 point underdogs, the Beacons kept it closer than expected.

After trailing 43-29 at halftime, Valparaiso outscored Drake 42-38 in the second half. The game’s total points of 152 exceeded the O/U line of 128.5.

Beacons Offense Breakdown

Valparaiso's offense put up 71 points in their last game, shooting 47.9% from the field with an effective field goal percentage of 52.1%. They connected on 36.4% of their three-point attempts, going 4-for-11, and hit 84% from the free-throw line, making 21 of 25 attempts.

Bennett Stirtz led the way with 24 points and 9 assists, while Mitch Mascari added 21 points, hitting 5 of 9 from beyond the arc. All Wright was perfect from three, going 2-for-2, and Cooper Schwieger shot 71.4% from the field, contributing 14 points and 6 rebounds.

Beacons Team Defense

Valparaiso's defense struggled in their last game, giving up 81 points while allowing their opponent to shoot 55% from the field. The Beacons couldn't contain the two-point shooting, as they gave up 17 baskets on 31 attempts, a 54% success rate.

From beyond the arc, Valparaiso allowed 9 threes on 16 attempts, with their opponent hitting 56% of their shots. The Beacons also sent their opponent to the free-throw line 24 times, where they converted 20 of those attempts, an 83% clip.

Aces vs Beacons Betting Odds, Trends & Analysis

Across the Aces last ten road games, the team averaged 54 points per game while allowing 71. Their record vs the spread in these contests was 3-7, while going 2-8 straight-up.
Across the Beacons last three home games, the team averaged 60 points per game while allowing 70. Their record vs the spread in these contests was 1-1-1, while going 0-3 straight-up.
As the betting underdog, the Aces have an ATS mark of just 2-3 in their last five games. Evansville posted a straight up mark of 1-4 in these matchups.
Through their last three games as the favorite, the Beacons have an ATS record of 2-1 and a straight up mark of 3-0.