Baylor Bears vs TCU Horned Frogs Matchup

Read on to get betting odds and analysis in our TCU vs Baylor NCAA Basketball prediction and preview and see who we think will win and cover the spread in Waco.

TCU vs Baylor Prediction

The Horned Frogs and Bears are set to face off at 5:00 ET on ESPN. The Bears will host the game at Foster Pavilion in Waco, TX. The over/under for this game is set at 135.5 points, and Baylor is favored by -12.5 vs. TCU in a Big 12 conference matchup.

TCU vs. Baylor Matchup At A Glance

Sport: NCAAB
Teams: TCU Horned Frogs at Baylor Bears
Where: Waco at Foster Pavilion
Date: Sunday, January 19th
Betting Odds BAYL -12.5, TCU +564 | BAYL -841 O/U 135.5

Horned Frogs Preview: Will the Horned Frogs Make it Happen on the Road?

TCU Horned Frogs Recent Game/Games

TCU's season record dropped to 9-7 after a 73-65 home loss to Utah on Wednesday. The Horned Frogs were -4.5 favorites but failed to cover the spread. The game’s total points of 138 fell short of the 143.5 O/U line.

TCU trailed 30-26 at halftime and couldn’t turn things around in the 2nd half, scoring 39 points while allowing 43.

Horned Frogs Offense Breakdown

TCU struggled offensively in their last game, shooting just 37.5% from the field and 38.6% on two-point attempts. They hit 35% from beyond the arc, connecting on 7 of 20 attempts, and had an effective field goal percentage of 43.8%.

The Horned Frogs also struggled at the free-throw line, making only 47.6% of their attempts. Vasean Allette led the team with 19 points and 9 rebounds, while Gabe Madsen added 17 points despite shooting 26.7% overall and 18.2% from three-point range.

Horned Frogs Team Defense

TCU's defense gave up 73 points, holding their opponent to 37% shooting from the field. They allowed 24 made field goals on 64 attempts.

From two-point range, TCU's opponent shot 38%, converting 17 of 44 attempts. From beyond the arc, they hit 7 of 20 threes, shooting 35%. TCU also sent them to the free-throw line 21 times, where they made 10, shooting 47%.

Bears Preview: Can the Bears Hold Strong at Home?

Baylor Bears Recent Game/Games

Baylor’s season record dropped to 10-5 after an 81-70 loss to Arizona on Tuesday. The Bears, who were +5.5 point underdogs, didn’t cover the spread. The game’s total points of 151 went over the pre-game line of 149.5.

After trailing 42-19 at halftime, Baylor showed resilience by scoring 51 points in the 2nd half while allowing 39. Despite the strong finish, the early deficit proved too much to overcome.

Bears Offense Breakdown

Baylor's offense put up 70 points in their last game, shooting 48.2% from the field. They connected on 58.3% of their two-point attempts, but struggled from beyond the arc, hitting just 30% of their threes (6/20). Their effective field goal percentage was 53.6%, and they made 76.9% of their free throws (10/13).

Henri Veesaar was a standout, scoring 19 points in 20 minutes, shooting 81.8% from the field and hitting his only three-point attempt. Robert O. Wright III added 16 points and 4 assists, while VJ Edgecombe contributed 14 points and 7 rebounds. Jaden Bradley and Jeremy Roach each scored 13 points, with Bradley also dishing out 6 assists.

Bears Team Defense

Despite Baylor's defensive efforts, they couldn't contain the opposing offense, giving up 81 points on 53% shooting. The other team found success inside, hitting 55% of their two-point attempts with a 22/40 performance.

From beyond the arc, Baylor allowed 7 threes on 14 attempts, a 50% shooting rate. The opposing team also went to the line 25 times, converting 16 free throws.

Horned Frogs vs Bears Betting Odds, Trends & Analysis

Across the Horned Frogs last five road games, the team averaged 67 points per game while allowing 79. Their record vs the spread in these contests was 1-4, while going 0-5 straight-up.
Through their last three home games, Baylor has an ATS record of just 0-3. However, their overall record was 1-2 while averaging 65 points per game.
Looking back on the team's last ten games as the underdog, the Horned Frogs have a straight up record of 2-8. Their record vs the spread in these games was 4-6.
The Bears have played well in their last five games as the betting favorite, going 5-0 straight up and 3-2 against the spread.