Arkansas State Red Wolves vs Troy Trojans Matchup

Read on to get betting odds and analysis in our Arkansas State vs Troy NCAA Basketball prediction and preview and see who we think will win and cover the spread in Troy.

Arkansas State vs Troy Prediction

Looking to win big? The Red Wolves and Trojans face off at 4:30 ET on ESPN+. The Trojans are hosting the game at Trojan Arena in Troy, AL. The over/under for this Sun Belt conference contest is set at 143.5 points, with Troy being favored by -1.5 at home against Arkansas State.

Arkansas State vs. Troy Matchup At A Glance

Sport: NCAAB
Teams: Arkansas State Red Wolves at Troy Trojans
Where: Troy at Trojan Arena
Date: Saturday, January 11th
Betting Odds TROY -1.5, ARKST +105 | TROY -125 O/U 143.5

Red Wolves Preview: Is a Road Win Possible for Arkansas State?

Arkansas State Red Wolves Recent Game/Games

Arkansas State fell to 10-5 on the season after a 76-62 road loss to South Alabama on Thursday. The Red Wolves entered the game as +1.5 point underdogs and failed to cover the spread. The total points for the game were 138, just under the O/U line of 140.5.

Arkansas State trailed 41-31 at halftime and couldn’t close the gap in the second half, scoring 31 points while allowing 35. The Red Wolves will look to bounce back after this loss.

Red Wolves Offense Breakdown

Arkansas State struggled offensively in their last game, shooting just 31.3% from the field and 24.5% from beyond the arc, hitting 12 of 49 three-point attempts. Their effective field goal percentage was 40.3%, but they did manage to grab 16 offensive rebounds and dish out 12 assists.

Elijah Ormiston was a bright spot, scoring 22 points on 6 of 8 shooting, including 4 of 5 from deep. Taryn Todd added 18 points, hitting 5 of 15 threes, while Joseph Pinion contributed 17 points despite shooting just 2 of 14 from three-point range.

Red Wolves Team Defense

Arkansas State's defense struggled in their last game, giving up 76 points on 56% shooting from the field. The Red Wolves allowed their opponent to hit 63% of their two-point attempts, going 14/22 inside the arc.

From three-point range, Arkansas State's defense couldn't contain their opponent, who shot 50% on 12/24 attempts. They also sent them to the line 18 times, where they made 12 free throws, and gave up 6 offensive rebounds.

Trojans Preview: Will the Trojans Win at Home?

Troy Trojans Recent Game/Games

Troy fell to 8-5 on the season after a narrow 74-73 loss to Texas State on Thursday. The Trojans, who were -7 favorites at home, not only lost the game but also failed to cover the spread.

Troy led 41-32 at halftime but allowed 42 points in the 2nd half while scoring just 32. The game’s total points of 147 went over the O/U line of 136.5.

Trojans Offense Breakdown

Troy's offense put up 73 points in their last game, shooting 47.8% from the field with an effective field goal percentage of 52.2%. They connected on 58.6% of their two-point attempts, but struggled from beyond the arc, hitting just 5 of 17 threes for a 29.4% rate.

At the free-throw line, Troy converted 24 of 31 attempts, good for 77.4%. Tylan Pope led the way with 27 points and 10 rebounds, shooting 56.2% from the field and hitting his only three-point attempt. Mark Drone added 17 points in just 20 minutes, while Tayton Conerway contributed 15 points and 4 assists.

Trojans Team Defense

Despite Troy's defensive efforts, they allowed 74 points on 47% shooting from the field. The opposing team found success inside, hitting 58% of their two-point attempts, going 17/29.

From beyond the arc, Troy held the other team to 29% shooting, with just 5 made threes on 17 attempts. However, they sent them to the free-throw line 31 times, where they converted 24 free throws at a 77% rate.

Red Wolves vs Trojans Betting Odds, Trends & Analysis

Although Arkansas State has a straight up record of 1-2 in their last three road games, they have not held up as well vs the spread going 1-2. The team averaged 67 points per game in these games.
When looking at their past five home matchups, Troy has an ATS record of 3-2 while averaging 62 per game. The team went 3-2 overall in these games.
Arkansas State has done well both straight up and vs the spread as the underdog, going 2-1 SU and 2-1 ATS in their last three games.
Going back to their last ten games as the favorite, the Trojans have a straight up record of 8-2. But, their mark vs the spread was just 7-3.