Arizona State Sun Devils vs Baylor Bears Matchup

Read on to get betting odds and analysis in our Baylor vs Arizona State NCAA Basketball prediction and preview and see who we think will win and cover the spread in Tempe.

Baylor vs Arizona State Prediction

Making on a bet on this NCAA game featuring the Bears versus the Sun Devils? Tip off is at at 9:30 ET, and you can watch it all unfold on ESPN+. The game will be played at Desert Financial Arena in Tempe, AZ. Baylor is favored by -3.5 in this Big 12 conference showdown. The game's over/under is currently at 143.5 points.

Baylor vs. Arizona State Matchup At A Glance

Sport: NCAAB
Teams: Baylor Bears at Arizona State Sun Devils
Where: Tempe at Desert Financial Arena
Date: Saturday, January 11th
Betting Odds BAYL -3.5, BAYL -177 | ARZST +143 O/U 143.5

Bears Preview: Can Baylor Secure a Road Victory?

Baylor improved to 9-4 on the season with a dominant 68-48 win over Cincinnati on Tuesday. The Bears, who were -5.5 favorites, covered the spread with ease. The game’s total points of 116 fell well short of the 139.5 O/U line.

Baylor took control early, leading 35-20 at halftime. They added 33 points in the second half while holding Cincinnati to 28 points.

Bears Offense Breakdown

Baylor's offense put up 68 points in their last game, shooting 50% from the field and posting an effective field goal percentage of 55.6%. They hit 55% of their two-point attempts (22/40) and 35.7% from beyond the arc (5/14), while connecting on 81.8% of their free throws (9/11). The Bears grabbed 8 offensive rebounds and dished out 12 assists.

Dan Skillings Jr., Norchad Omier, and VJ Edgecombe each contributed 18 points. Skillings hit 5 threes, shooting 71.4% from deep, while Omier was 7/9 from the field and added 10 rebounds. Edgecombe connected on 2 of 4 three-point attempts, finishing 7/13 overall.

Bears Team Defense

Despite Baylor's defense allowing 50% shooting, they held their opponent to just 48 points. The opposing team shot 55% from two-point range, converting 22 of 40 attempts.

From beyond the arc, Baylor's defense limited their opponent to 5 made threes on 14 attempts, a 35% success rate. The opposing team also went 9/11 from the free-throw line.

Sun Devils Preview: Will the Sun Devils Defense Show Up at Home?

The Sun Devils dropped to 10-4 on the season after a 74-55 loss to Kansas on Wednesday. Arizona State, who entered the game as +14.5 point underdogs, not only failed to cover the spread but also saw the total points fall short of the 144.5 O/U line, as the teams combined for 129 points.

Arizona State led 42-36 at halftime but managed only 13 points in the second half while allowing 38 points to the Jayhawks. This collapse in the second half was a key factor in the loss.

Sun Devils Offense Breakdown

Arizona State struggled offensively in their last game, scoring just 55 points with a field goal percentage of 35.8% and an effective field goal percentage of 41.5%. Their three-point shooting was particularly poor, hitting only 25% (6/24) from beyond the arc, though they excelled at the free-throw line, making 91.7% (11/12) of their attempts.

Zeke Mayo was a bright spot, scoring 23 points on 8/14 shooting, including 5/8 from three-point range. Alston Mason also contributed 19 points, shooting 6/10 overall and 2/4 from deep. Hunter Dickinson added 15 points and 12 rebounds, but struggled with his shooting, hitting just 5/15 from the field.

Sun Devils Team Defense

Arizona State's defense gave up 74 points in their last game, with the opposing team shooting 43% from the field. They allowed 51% shooting on two-point attempts, as the other team hit 20 of 39 shots inside the arc.

From three-point range, Arizona State's defense held the other team to 30% shooting, with 7 made threes on 23 attempts. The opposing team also went 13/13 from the free-throw line. Arizona State gave up 14 offensive rebounds.

Bears vs Sun Devils Betting Odds, Trends & Analysis

In their last five games away from home, the Bears have a straight up record of 1-4 while going 0-5 vs the spread. The team's offense averaged 70 points per game in these contests.
When looking at their past ten home matchups, Arizona State has an ATS record of 4-6 while averaging 64 per game. The team went 2-8 overall in these games.
Looking back on the team's last three games as the underdog, the Sun Devils have a straight up record of 0-3. Their record vs the spread in these games was 0-3.
The Bears have played well in their last five games as the betting favorite, going 5-0 straight up and 3-2 against the spread.