Alabama Crimson Tide vs Mississippi State Bulldogs Matchup

Read on to get betting odds and analysis in our Alabama vs Mississippi State NCAA Basketball prediction and preview and see who we think will win and cover the spread in Starkville.

Alabama vs Mississippi State Prediction

The Crimson Tide and Bulldogs are set to face off at 9:00 ET on SECN. The Bulldogs will host the game at Humphrey Coliseum in Starkville, MS. Alabama is favored by -1.5 in this Southeastern conference contest against Mississippi State. The game's over/under currently sits at 164.5 points.

Alabama vs. Mississippi State Matchup At A Glance

Sport: NCAAB
Teams: Alabama Crimson Tide at Mississippi State Bulldogs
Where: Starkville at Humphrey Coliseum
Date: Wednesday, January 29th
Betting Odds ALA -1.5, ALA -114 | MSPST -106 O/U 164.5

Crimson Tide Preview: Can Alabama Pull Out the Win as Road Favorites?

Alabama Crimson Tide Recent Game/Games

Alabama improved to 17-3 on the season with an 80-73 win over LSU on Saturday. The Crimson Tide, who were -17.5 point favorites, didn’t cover the spread in this one. The total points for the game ended at 153, falling short of the 167.5 O/U line.

The game was tied 40-40 at halftime, but Alabama pulled away in the 2nd half, outscoring LSU 40-33 to secure the win at home.

Crimson Tide Offense Breakdown

Alabama's offense put up 80 points in their last game, shooting 44.3% from the field and 30.4% from beyond the arc, hitting 7 of 23 three-point attempts. Their effective field goal percentage was 49.2%, and they were strong from the free-throw line, making 19 of 24 attempts for a 79.2% success rate.

Jordan Sears led the way with 21 points and 6 assists, despite shooting just 1 of 6 from three-point range. Aden Holloway added 19 points, hitting 3 of 8 from deep, while Cam Carter contributed 17 points, though he struggled from three, making just 1 of 7 attempts. Corey Chest was a force on the boards, grabbing 18 rebounds to go along with his 12 points.

Crimson Tide Team Defense

Alabama's defense gave up 73 points in their last game, with the opposing team shooting 44% from the field, hitting 27 of their 61 attempts. Inside the arc, Alabama allowed them to shoot 52%, as they connected on 20 of 38 two-point shots.

From three-point range, the opposition shot 30%, making 7 of 23 attempts. Alabama also sent them to the free-throw line 24 times, where they converted 19 for 79%. On the boards, Alabama gave up 11 offensive rebounds.

Bulldogs Preview: Do the Bulldogs Stand a Chance at Home?

Mississippi State improved to 16-4 on the season with a 65-60 road win over South Carolina on Saturday. The Bulldogs entered the game as -7.5 favorites but didn’t cover the spread. The combined points fell short of the 138.5 O/U line.

Mississippi State led 28-20 at halftime but allowed 35 points in the 2nd half while scoring 27. Despite the win, the Bulldogs will need to tighten up their defense moving forward.

Bulldogs Offense Breakdown

Mississippi State's offense put up 65 points in their last game, shooting 41.8% from the field. Their effective field goal percentage was 47.3%, with a strong performance inside, hitting 58.6% of their two-point attempts (17/29). However, they struggled from beyond the arc, connecting on just 23.1% of their threes (6/26).

At the free-throw line, the Bulldogs shot 72.2% (13/18) and grabbed 9 offensive rebounds. They also dished out 15 assists. Jamarii Thomas led the team with 19 points, while Riley Kugel added 15, hitting 3 of 5 from three-point range. KeShawn Murphy contributed 13 points, shooting 66.7% from the field.

Bulldogs Team Defense

Mississippi State's defense shined, holding their opponents to just 60 points on 29% shooting from the field. They limited two-point attempts to 13/38 (34%).

From beyond the arc, the Bulldogs gave up only 4 threes on 20 attempts (20%). Their opponents shot 75% from the free-throw line, making 22 of 29 attempts.

Crimson Tide vs Bulldogs Betting Odds, Trends & Analysis

Across the Crimson Tide last ten road games, the team averaged 90 points per game while allowing 87. Their record vs the spread in these contests was 6-4, while going 7-3 straight-up.
Across their five previous home games, Mississippi State has an ATS mark of 2-3. Their straight up record in these matchups was 3-2 while averaging 68 points per game.
Looking back on the team's last five games as the underdog, the Bulldogs have a straight up record of 1-4. Their record vs the spread in these games was 2-3.
Through their last five games as the favorite, the Crimson Tide have an ATS record of 3-2 and a straight up mark of 4-1.