Read on to get betting odds and analysis in our Tarleton State vs UCF NCAA Basketball prediction and preview and see who we think will win and cover the spread in Orlando.
Tarleton State vs UCF Prediction
Looking to win big? The Texans and Knights face off at 1:00 ET on ESPN+. The Knights are hosting the game at Addition Financial Arena in Orlando, FL. This non-conference matchup has an over/under of 135 points, and UCF is favored by -25 vs. Tarleton State.
Tarleton State vs. UCF Matchup At A Glance
- Sport: NCAAB
- Teams: Tarleton State Texans at UCF Knights
- Where: Orlando at Addition Financial Arena
- Date: Sunday, December 8th
- Betting Odds UCF -25, TARL +3000 | UCF -10000 O/U 135
Texans Preview: Will the Texans Defense Show Up in Orlando?
Tarleton State Texans Recent Game/Games
Tarleton State fell to 1-7 on the season after an 87-71 home loss to Indiana State on Sunday. The Texans entered the game as +9 underdogs and failed to cover the spread. The total points for the game were 158, surpassing the over/under line of 143.5.
After trailing 53-31 at halftime, Tarleton State showed some fight in the second half, outscoring the Sycamores 40-34. However, the early deficit was too much to overcome.
Texans Offense Breakdown
Tarleton State put up 71 points in their last game, shooting 44.4% from the field and 25% from beyond the arc, hitting just 3 of 12 three-point attempts. Their effective field goal percentage was 48.1%, while they connected on 50% of their two-point shots, going 21 for 42.
At the free-throw line, the Texans were efficient, making 20 of 24 attempts for an 83.3% success rate. They grabbed 10 offensive rebounds and dished out 8 assists in the game.
Texans Team Defense
Despite Tarleton State's defensive efforts, they allowed 87 points on 44% shooting in their previous game. The Texans gave up 21 two-point field goals on 42 attempts, a 50% shooting rate.
From beyond the arc, their opponents hit 3 of 12 threes, shooting 25%. Tarleton State also sent them to the line 24 times, where they converted 20 free throws, an 83% success rate. The Texans allowed 10 offensive rebounds.
Knights Preview: Are the Knights Ready for a Home Win?
UCF improved to 6-2 on the season with a 74-59 win over California Baptist on Sunday. The Knights were -10.5 favorites at home and covered the spread, while the total points of 133 fell short of the 149.5 O/U line.
UCF led 32-29 at halftime and pulled away in the 2nd half, outscoring the Lancers 42-30.
Knights Offense Breakdown
UCF put up 74 points in their last game, shooting 45.3% from the field with an effective field goal percentage of 52.8%. They hit 38.1% from beyond the arc, connecting on 8 of 21 attempts, and shot 50% on two-pointers (16/32). At the free-throw line, the Knights went 18 for 26, converting 69.2% of their attempts.
Dominique Daniels Jr. led the way with 33 points, shooting 44% overall and 42.9% from three (3/7). Keyshawn Hall added 15 points, hitting 66.7% from deep (2/3) and 50% overall. Moustapha Thiam and Darius Johnson each chipped in 11 points, with Thiam grabbing 7 rebounds and Johnson dishing out 4 assists.
Knights Team Defense
UCF's defense held their opponent to 59 points, despite allowing them to shoot 45% from the field. The Knights gave up 16 two-point baskets on 32 attempts, a 50% shooting rate.
From beyond the arc, UCF's opponent hit 8 of 21 threes, shooting 38%. The Knights also sent them to the free-throw line 26 times, where they made 18, shooting 69%. UCF allowed 7 offensive rebounds.
Texans vs Knights Betting Odds, Trends & Analysis
- When looking at their past five road matchups, Tarleton State has an ATS record of 2-3 while averaging 53 per game. The team went 1-4 overall in these games.
- When looking at their past five home matchups, UCF has an ATS record of 2-3 while averaging 80 per game. The team went 2-3 overall in these games.
- Going back to their last five games as the underdog, the Texans have a straight up record of 1-4. But, their mark vs the spread was just 2-3.
- Through their last three matchups as the betting favorite, the Knights have a good straight up record, but their ATS mark is just 1-2.
Tarleton State vs UCF Prediction & Free Pick
- KnupSports.com Free Betting Prediction: UCF -25 Be sure to check out our other NCAA Basketball betting previews for this week. KnupSports.com also updates their sports betting picks page daily with plays across all sports.