New Mexico State Aggies vs Pepperdine Waves Matchup

Read on to get betting odds and analysis in our New Mexico State vs Pepperdine NCAA Basketball prediction and preview and see who we think will win and cover the spread in Tempe.

New Mexico State vs Pepperdine Prediction

The Aggies and Waves are set to face off at 3:30 ET on PTB. The Waves will host the game at Mullett Arena in Tempe, AZ. New Mexico State is favored by -4.5 in this non-conference showdown. The game's over/under is currently at 138 points.

New Mexico State vs. Pepperdine Matchup At A Glance

Sport: NCAAB
Teams: New Mexico State Aggies at Pepperdine Waves
Where: Tempe at Mullett Arena
Date: Friday, November 29th
Betting Odds NMXST -4.5, NMXST -212 | PEPP +165 O/U 138

Aggies Preview: Can New Mexico State Pull Out the Win as Road Favorites?

New Mexico State Aggies Recent Game/Games

The Aggies dropped their recent game against UNLV, falling 72-65 on Saturday. New Mexico State was +11.5 point underdogs going into the game, but they managed to cover the spread.

After trailing 37-34 at halftime, the Aggies scored 31 points in the 2nd half while allowing 35. The total points for the game came to 137, just under the O/U line of 141.

Aggies Offense Breakdown

New Mexico State struggled offensively in their last game, shooting just 31.2% from the field and 30.8% on two-point attempts. Their effective field goal percentage was 37.5%, and they connected on 32% of their threes, going 8-for-25 from deep.

Despite their shooting woes, the Aggies grabbed 21 offensive rebounds and hit 17 of 27 free throws (63%). Dedan Thomas Jr. led the way with 22 points, though he shot just 4-for-15 from the field. Jalen Hill added 16 points and 9 rebounds, while Julian Rishwain contributed 12 points, hitting 3 of 6 from beyond the arc.

Aggies Team Defense

New Mexico State's defense gave up 72 points in their last game, despite holding the opposing team to just 36% shooting overall. They limited two-point damage, allowing 12 makes on 32 attempts for 37% shooting.

From beyond the arc, the Aggies' defense saw the other team hit 6 of 18 threes, a 33% clip. They also sent the opponent to the line 42 times, where they converted 30 free throws at a 71% rate. New Mexico State allowed 12 offensive rebounds.

Waves Preview: Will the Waves Come Through as Home Underdogs?

Pepperdine’s season took a hit with a 72-63 loss to Cal State Fullerton on Tuesday. The Waves, who were -6 favorites, not only lost but also failed to cover the spread. The game’s total points were 135, just under the O/U line of 136.

Pepperdine led 35-29 at halftime but struggled in the 2nd half, scoring only 28 points while allowing 43. This collapse was a key factor in their loss.

Waves Offense Breakdown

Pepperdine struggled offensively in their last game, shooting just 37.7% from the field and 23.1% from three-point range, hitting 6 of 26 attempts. Their effective field goal percentage was 42.6%, and they managed 11 assists as a team.

Stefan Todorovic led the Waves with 16 points and 9 rebounds, while Donovan Oday added 15 points in just 15 minutes, shooting 5 of 8 from the field. Pepperdine also grabbed 17 offensive rebounds in the game.

Waves Team Defense

Despite giving up 17 offensive rebounds, Pepperdine held their opponent to 72 points on 37% shooting from the field. The Waves limited damage from beyond the arc, where their opponent shot just 23%, hitting 6 of 26 three-point attempts.

From the free-throw line, Pepperdine's opponent went 11/15, shooting 73%. Inside the arc, they connected on 17 of 35 two-point attempts, good for 48%.

Aggies vs Waves Betting Odds, Trends & Analysis

When looking at their past five road matchups, New Mexico State has an ATS record of 3-2 while averaging 65 per game. The team went 2-3 overall in these games.
Through their last ten home contests, the Waves offense has averaged 67 points per game while allowing an average of 80. Pepperdine posted an overall record of 2-8 while going 2-8 ATS.
Going back to their previous five games as the underdog, Pepperdine has an ATS mark of 0-5 while going 0-5 straight up.
Looking back on the team's last ten games as the favorite, the Aggies have a straight up record of 10-0. Their record vs the spread in these games was 6-3-1.