Morgan State Bears vs UMBC Retrievers Matchup

Read on to get betting odds and analysis in our Morgan State vs UMBC NCAA Basketball prediction and preview and see who we think will win and cover the spread in Baltimore.

Morgan State vs UMBC Prediction

Looking to win big? The Bears and Retrievers face off at 12:00 ET on ESPN+. The Retrievers are hosting the game at Chesapeake Employers Insurance Arena in Baltimore, MD. The odds for this non-conference game currently have UMBC as the -6 favorite, with the over/under line sitting at 160 points.

Morgan State vs. UMBC Matchup At A Glance

Sport: NCAAB
Teams: Morgan State Bears at UMBC Retrievers
Where: Baltimore at Chesapeake Employers Insurance Arena
Date: Wednesday, November 27th
Betting Odds UMBC -6, MORGST +200 | UMBC -250 O/U 160

Bears Preview: Will Morgan State Find a Way to Win on the Road?

Morgan State Bears Recent Game/Games

The Bears fell 64-60 to Towson on Sunday, November 24th, in a home game. Despite being +10 point underdogs, Morgan State kept it close, covering the spread.

After trailing 35-26 at halftime, the Bears tightened up defensively, outscoring Towson 34-29 in the 2nd half. The game’s total points were 124, well under the O/U line of 143.5.

Bears Offense Breakdown

Morgan State managed just 60 points in their last game, shooting 39.6% from the field. Their effective field goal percentage was 41.5%, with a rough 16.7% from beyond the arc, hitting only 2 of 12 three-point attempts.

They connected on 46.3% of their two-point shots and went 16 for 23 from the free-throw line, a 69.6% success rate. The Bears had 6 offensive rebounds and 9 assists, with Nendah Tarke leading the way, scoring 24 points and grabbing 7 boards.

Bears Team Defense

Despite Morgan State's defense giving up 64 points, they held their opponents to 39% shooting from the field, with 21 made baskets on 53 attempts. The Bears allowed 19 two-point field goals on 41 attempts, a 46% shooting rate.

From beyond the arc, Morgan State's defense was effective, as they limited their opponents to just 2 made threes on 12 attempts, a 16% success rate. The Bears also sent their opponents to the free-throw line 23 times, where they converted 16 shots, shooting 69%. Morgan State gave up 6 offensive rebounds in the game.

Retrievers Preview: Does UMBC Have What it Takes to Win as Home Favorites?

UMBC picked up a 95-77 win over Howard on Monday. The Retrievers were +2.5 point underdogs going into the game, but they not only won, they also covered the spread. The total points for the game reached 172, surpassing the O/U line of 154.5.

UMBC led 42-39 at halftime and really turned it on in the 2nd half, scoring 53 points while holding Howard to 38. It was a strong finish for the Retrievers, who outperformed expectations in this one.

Retrievers Offense Breakdown

UMBC's offense was firing on all cylinders in their last game, putting up 95 points while shooting 60.3% from the field. Their effective field goal percentage was an impressive 70.7%, thanks in part to hitting 50% of their threes (12/24) and 67.6% of their two-point attempts.

Bryce Johnson led the way with 28 points, shooting 66.7% overall and 57.1% from deep. Anthony Valentine was nearly perfect, hitting 6 of 7 shots and going 1 for 1 from three, adding 7 assists to his 16 points.

Retrievers Team Defense

UMBC's defense struggled in their last game, giving up 77 points on 60% shooting from the field. The Retrievers allowed their opponents to hit 35 of 58 shots.

Inside the arc, UMBC's defense gave up 23 baskets on 34 attempts, a 67% success rate. From three-point range, they allowed 12 of 24 shots to fall, with their opponents also hitting 13 of 18 free throws.

Bears vs Retrievers Betting Odds, Trends & Analysis

Through their last three road games, Morgan State has an ATS record of just 1-2. However, their overall record was 0-3 while averaging 74 points per game.
UMBC has a 2-3 record in their last five home games. In this stretch, they averaged 72 points per game while allowing 77. The team also performed well vs the spread at 3-2.
Going back to their previous five games as the underdog, Morgan State has an ATS mark of 2-3 while going 0-5 straight up.
Spanning across their last five games as the betting favorite, the Retrievers have gone 2-3 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 2-3.