Mississippi State Bulldogs vs SMU Mustangs Matchup

Read on to get betting odds and analysis in our Mississippi State vs SMU NCAA Basketball prediction and preview and see who we think will win and cover the spread in Dallas.

Mississippi State vs SMU Prediction

Betting on today's Bulldogs and Mustangs game? Catch the action at Moody Coliseum in Dallas, TX, as the Mustangs hosts this showdown at 8:30 ET on ACC. Mississippi State is the -1.5 point favorites in this non-conference matchup against SMU. The over/under for the game is set at 156.5 points.

Mississippi State vs. SMU Matchup At A Glance

Sport: NCAAB
Teams: Mississippi State Bulldogs at SMU Mustangs
Where: Dallas at Moody Coliseum
Date: Friday, November 22nd
Betting Odds MSPST -1.5, MSPST -121 | SMU +100 O/U 156.5

Bulldogs Preview: Will the Bulldogs Pull Through as the Favored Road Team?

Mississippi State improved to 3-0 on the season with a 78-73 win over Utah on Sunday. The Bulldogs were -7.5 favorites at home, but they didn’t cover the spread. The total points for the game were 151, just over the 149 O/U line.

After trailing 39-28 at halftime, Mississippi State turned things around in the 2nd half, outscoring Utah 50-34. Their strong 2nd half performance was key to the win.

Bulldogs Offense Breakdown

In their latest game, Mississippi State managed to put up 78 points despite shooting just 35.8% from the field, with an effective field goal percentage of 40.3%. They struggled from beyond the arc, hitting only 24% on 6-of-25 shooting, but made up for it at the free-throw line, going 24-of-33 (72.7%). The Bulldogs also grabbed 17 offensive rebounds and dished out 15 assists.

Josh Hubbard led the way with 23 points, connecting on 5-of-9 threes. KeShawn Murphy added 18 points and 14 rebounds, while Mason Madsen contributed 14 points, hitting 4-of-5 from deep. Keanu Dawes also had a strong performance, scoring 13 points and pulling down 12 rebounds.

Bulldogs Team Defense

Even with a strong defensive effort, Mississippi State couldn't hold their opponent under 73 points. They limited the damage from the field, allowing just 35% shooting overall, including 24% from beyond the arc, where the other team went 6/25.

Inside the arc, Mississippi State's defense gave up 18 two-pointers on 42 attempts, a 42% success rate. They also sent the other team to the line 33 times, where they hit 24 free throws for 72%.

Mustangs Preview: Will the Mustangs Find a Way to Win at Home?

SMU Mustangs Recent Game/Games

SMU cruised to a 110-69 win over Prairie View A&M on Monday, November 18th, in a home game. The Mustangs were heavy favorites, entering the game as -31.5 point favorites, and they covered the spread with the win. The total points for the game reached 179, surpassing the over/under line of 161.

After leading 51-46 at halftime, SMU clamped down defensively in the second half, allowing just 23 points while scoring 59 of their own.

Mustangs Offense Breakdown

SMU's offense put up 110 points in their last game, shooting 50% from the field and hitting 48% from beyond the arc (12/25). Their effective field goal percentage was 58.1%, and they also connected on 77.4% of their free throws, going 24/31 from the line.

The Mustangs dominated the glass with 23 offensive rebounds and dished out 25 assists. Matt Cross was a standout, shooting 75% from the field and grabbing 12 rebounds, while Chuck Harris added 17 points, hitting 3 of 5 from deep.

Mustangs Team Defense

Even with SMU allowing 69 points, their defense struggled, giving up a 50% shooting performance from the field. The Mustangs' defense couldn't contain the opposition inside, as they shot 51% on two-point attempts, converting 25 of 49 shots.

From beyond the arc, SMU's opponents were hot, hitting 48% of their threes, going 12 for 25. The Mustangs also sent them to the free-throw line 31 times, where they made 24, shooting 77%. SMU gave up 23 offensive rebounds in the game.

Bulldogs vs Mustangs Betting Odds, Trends & Analysis

In their last three road games, Mississippi State has averaged 69 points per game while allowing 63. The team's record in this stretch was 2-1 while going 3-0 vs. the spread.
In their last five games at home, the Mustangs have a straight up record of 0-5 while going 0-5 vs the spread. The team's offense averaged 74 points per game in these contests.
In their last three games as the betting underdog, the Mustangs have a straight up record of 0-3 and an ATS mark of 0-3.
The last ten games that Mississippi State was favored, they have an ATS mark of 5-5 while going 8-2 straight up.