Fairfield Stags vs Mount St. Mary’s Mountaineers Matchup

Read on to get betting odds and analysis in our Fairfield vs Mount St. Mary's NCAA Basketball prediction and preview and see who we think will win and cover the spread in Emmitsburg.

Fairfield vs Mount St. Mary's Prediction

Planning on watching today's Stags and Mountaineers game? Catch the action at Knott Arena in Emmitsburg, MD, as the Mountaineers hosts this showdown at 2:00 ET on ESPN+. The over/under for this game is set at 137 points, and Mount St. Mary's is favored by -2 vs. Fairfield in a Metro Atlantic Athletic conference matchup.

Fairfield vs. Mount St. Mary's Matchup At A Glance

Sport: NCAAB
Teams: Fairfield Stags at Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers
Where: Emmitsburg at Knott Arena
Date: Sunday, December 8th
Betting Odds MSTM -2, FAIR +113 | MSTM -140 O/U 137

Stags Preview: Can Fairfield Lock in a Road Win?

Fairfield Stags Recent Game/Games

Fairfield evened their record at 4-4 this season with a 78-75 win over Rider on Wednesday. The Stags were favored by 2 points at home and covered the spread with the victory.

Fairfield led 39-34 at halftime and scored 39 points again in the 2nd half, while Rider put up 41 points after the break. The total points for the game reached 153, surpassing the O/U line of 134.

Stags Offense Breakdown

Fairfield's offense put up 78 points in their last game, shooting 48.4% from the field and 50% from beyond the arc, hitting 9 of 18 three-point attempts. Their effective field goal percentage was 54.8%, and they grabbed 18 offensive rebounds, with 17 assists as a team.

Tariq Ingraham and T.J. Weeks Jr. each scored 21 points, with Ingraham adding 14 rebounds. Deon Perry also contributed, hitting 4 of 7 threes, while Louis Bleechmore was 4 of 5 from deep, finishing with 16 points on 75% shooting overall.

Stags Team Defense

Fairfield's defense struggled in this one, giving up 75 points on 48% shooting from the field. The Stags allowed their opponent to connect on 30 of 62 attempts.

From beyond the arc, Fairfield's defense couldn't contain the shooters, who hit 9 of 18 threes, good for 50%. The Stags also sent their opponent to the line 14 times, where they made 9 free throws.

Mountaineers Preview: Taking a Look at the Mountaineers Chances at Home

Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers Recent Game/Games

The Mountaineers dropped to 4-3 on the season after a narrow 53-50 loss to Marist on Friday. Playing on the road, Mount St. Mary's entered the game as +5.5 point underdogs but managed to cover the spread.

After trailing 31-29 at halftime, the Mountaineers scored just 21 points in the 2nd half while allowing 22. The game’s total points of 103 fell well short of the 135.5 O/U line.

Mountaineers Offense Breakdown

Mount St. Mary's struggled offensively in their last game, scoring just 50 points on 36.4% shooting from the field. Their effective field goal percentage was 40%, and they hit only 3 of 17 attempts from beyond the arc, shooting 17.6% from three-point range.

Josh Pascarelli led the team with 13 points, despite shooting 35.3% overall and 14.3% from three. Jackson Price and Dallas Hobbs each added 11 points, with Price hitting 2 of 4 from deep. Hobbs missed all 4 of his three-point attempts, shooting 23.5% overall.

Mountaineers Team Defense

Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers put up a strong defensive effort, holding their opponent to just 53 points on 40% shooting from the field. They allowed 22 made field goals on 54 attempts.

From beyond the arc, the Mountaineers limited their opponent to 7 made threes on 23 attempts, a 30% shooting rate. They also sent them to the free-throw line just 4 times, where they converted 2 of those attempts.

Stags vs Mountaineers Betting Odds, Trends & Analysis

In their last three road games, Fairfield has averaged 62 points per game while allowing 63. The team's record in this stretch was 2-1 while going 3-0 vs. the spread.
Through their last ten home games, Mount St. Mary's has an ATS record of just 4-6. However, their overall record was 4-6 while averaging 67 points per game.
As the betting underdog, the Stags have an ATS mark of just 6-4 in their last ten games. Fairfield posted a straight up mark of 5-5 in these matchups.
Looking back on the team's last ten games as the favorite, the Mountaineers have a straight up record of 5-5. Their record vs the spread in these games was 3-7.