Dayton Flyers vs Northwestern Wildcats Matchup

Read on to get betting odds and analysis in our Northwestern vs Dayton NCAA Basketball prediction and preview and see who we think will win and cover the spread in Dayton.

Northwestern vs Dayton Prediction

The Wildcats and Flyers are set to face off at 7:30 ET on ESPN+. The Flyers will host the game at UD Arena in Dayton, OH. The odds for this non-conference game currently have Dayton as the -3.5 favorite, with the over/under line sitting at 137.5 points.

Northwestern vs. Dayton Matchup At A Glance

Sport: NCAAB
Teams: Northwestern Wildcats at Dayton Flyers
Where: Dayton at UD Arena
Date: Saturday, November 9th
Betting Odds DAY -3.5, NW +143 | DAY -177 O/U 137.5

Wildcats Preview: Is a Road Win Possible for the Wildcats?

Northwestern Wildcats Recent Game/Games

Northwestern opened their season with a dominant 90-46 win over Lehigh on Monday, November 4th. Playing at home, the Wildcats were -16.5 point favorites and covered the spread comfortably. The total points for the game were 136, just under the O/U line of 138.5.

Northwestern took control early, leading 51-15 at halftime. While they outscored Lehigh 39-31 in the 2nd half, the Wildcats’ defense wasn’t as tight after the break.

Wildcats Offense Breakdown

Northwestern's offense was firing on all cylinders in their latest game, putting up 90 points with a field goal percentage of 54.5% and an effective field goal percentage of 60.6%. They connected on 45% of their three-point attempts, hitting 9 of 20 from deep, while shooting 58.7% on two-pointers.

Nick Martinelli led the way with 26 points and 10 rebounds, shooting 75% from the field and hitting both of his three-point attempts. The Wildcats also dished out 22 assists, with Jalen Leach contributing 6 assists to go along with his 12 points.

Wildcats Team Defense

Northwestern's defense struggled in their last game, giving up 46 points while allowing the opposing team to shoot 54% from the field. Inside the arc, they allowed 27 of 46 shots to fall, a 58% success rate.

From three-point range, their opponents hit 9 of 20 attempts, shooting 45%. Northwestern also sent them to the free-throw line 14 times, where they made 9, a 64% rate. The Wildcats gave up 13 offensive rebounds.

Flyers Preview: Will the Flyers Win at UD Arena?

Dayton Flyers Recent Game/Games

The Flyers opened their season with a dominant 87-57 win over Saint Francis U on Monday. Playing at home, Dayton was a -22.5 point favorite and covered the spread with ease. The total points for the game reached 144, surpassing the O/U line of 137.

Dayton led 40-28 at halftime and continued to pull away in the 2nd half, outscoring the Red Flash 47-29. Their strong 2nd half performance was key in securing the win and covering the spread.

Flyers Offense Breakdown

Dayton put up 87 points in their last game, shooting 45.6% from the field with an effective field goal percentage of 51.5%. They dominated inside, hitting 63.9% of their two-point attempts, but struggled from beyond the arc, connecting on just 25% of their threes (8/32).

The Flyers grabbed 17 offensive rebounds and dished out 20 assists, with Malachi Smith contributing 6 assists and 11 points on 62.5% shooting. Zed Key was perfect from the field, going 4/4, while Jeremy Clayville hit 4 threes, shooting 50% from deep.

Flyers Team Defense

Dayton's defense gave up 57 points while allowing their opponent to shoot 45% from the field on 31 of 68 attempts. Inside the arc, they struggled, as the opposing team connected on 63% of their two-point shots, going 23 for 36.

From three-point range, Dayton held their opponent to 25% shooting, with just 8 made threes on 32 attempts. At the free-throw line, the opposing team shot 68%, hitting 17 of 25. Dayton also allowed 17 offensive rebounds.

Wildcats vs Flyers Betting Odds, Trends & Analysis

Through their last ten road games, Northwestern has an ATS record of just 6-4. However, their overall record was 3-7 while averaging 68 points per game.
Through their last three home contests, the Flyers offense has averaged 80 points per game while allowing an average of 79. Dayton posted an overall record of 1-2 while going 1-2 ATS.
Looking back on the team's last three games as the underdog, the Wildcats have a straight up record of 1-2. Their record vs the spread in these games was 1-2.
Through their previous five contests as the betting favorite, the Flyers have a strong record of 3-2. Their record vs the spread in these matchups is 2-3.