Dayton Flyers vs North Carolina Tar Heels Matchup

Read on to get betting odds and analysis in our Dayton vs North Carolina NCAA Basketball prediction and preview and see who we think will win and cover the spread in Maui.

Dayton vs North Carolina Prediction

Making on a bet on this NCAA game featuring the Flyers versus the Tar Heels? Tip off is at at 11:30 ET, and you can watch it all unfold on ESPN2. The game will be played at Lahaina Civic Center in Maui, HI. The over/under for this game is set at 155.5 points, and North Carolina is favored by -8 against Dayton in a non-conference matchup.

Dayton vs. North Carolina Matchup At A Glance

Sport: NCAAB
Teams: Dayton Flyers at North Carolina Tar Heels
Where: Maui at Lahaina Civic Center
Date: Monday, November 25th
Betting Odds NCAR -8, DAY +237 | NCAR -298 O/U 155.5

Flyers Preview: Is a Win at Maui Possible for the Flyers?

Dayton Flyers Recent Game/Games

Dayton improved to 3-0 with a 74-53 win over New Mexico State on Wednesday. The Flyers, who were -15.5 favorites, covered the spread in the victory.

Dayton led 29-28 at halftime but dominated the 2nd half, outscoring the Aggies 45-25. The game’s total points of 127 fell short of the O/U line of 141.5.

Flyers Offense Breakdown

Dayton's offense put up 74 points in their latest game, shooting 46.6% from the field and posting an effective field goal percentage of 55.2%. They connected on 37% of their three-point attempts, hitting 10 of 27 from deep, while their two-point shooting was 54.8% (17/31). The Flyers struggled at the free-throw line, making just 55.6% of their attempts (10/18).

The Flyers were active on the offensive glass, grabbing 13 rebounds, and they dished out 20 assists as a team. Nate Santos led the way with 23 points, hitting 6 of 10 from beyond the arc and finishing 8 of 15 overall. Peter Filipovity added 15 points, going 2 for 2 from three, and Robert Carpenter contributed 14 points and 9 rebounds, shooting 60% from the field.

Flyers Team Defense

Dayton's defense gave up 53 points while allowing their opponent to shoot 46% from the field. Inside the arc, they allowed 17 two-point baskets on 31 attempts, a 54% shooting rate.

From three-point range, Dayton's opponent hit 10 of 27 shots, shooting 37%. They also sent them to the free-throw line 18 times, where they made 10 free throws, shooting 55%. Dayton gave up 13 offensive rebounds.

Tar Heels Preview: Will North Carolina Make it Happen at Home?

North Carolina improved to 5-0 on the season with an 87-69 win over Hawaii on Saturday. The Tar Heels, who were -15.5 point favorites, covered the spread in the victory. The total points for the game were 156, just over the O/U line of 153.

UNC led 41-34 at halftime and pulled away in the 2nd half, outscoring Hawaii 46-35. The Tar Heels’ defense stepped up after the break, helping them secure the win.

Tar Heels Offense Breakdown

North Carolina put up 87 points in their last game, shooting 51.9% from the field with an effective field goal percentage of 55.6%. They hit 59% of their two-point attempts (23/39) and 33.3% from beyond the arc (5/15), while also knocking down 76.5% of their free throws (26/34).

The Tar Heels managed just 3 offensive rebounds but dished out 16 assists. Elliot Cadeau was a standout, hitting 7 of 8 shots for 17 points in 23 minutes. Gytis Nemeiksa added 16 points and 10 rebounds, connecting on 3 of 5 threes (60.0%).

Tar Heels Team Defense

North Carolina's defense held their opponent to 69 points on 38% shooting from the field. They limited two-point shots to 41% with their opponent hitting 14 of 34.

From beyond the arc, North Carolina's defense allowed 8 threes on 23 attempts, a 34% shooting rate. They also sent their opponent to the free-throw line 22 times, where they made 16 free throws, shooting 72%.

Flyers vs Tar Heels Betting Odds, Trends & Analysis

Through their last five road contests, the Flyers offense has averaged 70 points per game while allowing an average of 71. Dayton posted an overall record of 1-4 while going 1-4 ATS.
In their last three home games, North Carolina has averaged 86 points per game while allowing 80. The team's record in this stretch was 2-1 while going 3-0 vs. the spread.
Looking back on the team's last ten games as the underdog, the Flyers have a straight up record of 4-6. Their record vs the spread in these games was 4-5-1.
North Carolina has done well both straight up and vs the spread when favored to win the game, going 4-1 SU and 4-1 ATS in their last five games.