Read on to get betting odds and analysis in our New Mexico State vs Dayton NCAA Basketball prediction and preview and see who we think will win and cover the spread in Dayton.
New Mexico State vs Dayton Prediction
The Aggies and Flyers are set to face off at 7:00 ET on ESPN+. The Flyers will host the game at UD Arena in Dayton, OH. The odds for this non-conference game currently have Dayton as the -14.5 favorite, with the over/under line sitting at 142 points.
New Mexico State vs. Dayton Matchup At A Glance
- Sport: NCAAB
- Teams: New Mexico State Aggies at Dayton Flyers
- Where: Dayton at UD Arena
- Date: Wednesday, November 20th
- Betting Odds DAY -14.5, NMXST +678 | DAY -1137 O/U 142
Aggies Preview: Do the Aggies Have a Shot at a Win at Dayton?
New Mexico State narrowly escaped with an 83-82 win over Texas A&M-Corpus Christi on Thursday. The Aggies were -4.5 point favorites going into the game, but they didn’t cover the spread. The total points for the game reached 165, surpassing the over/under line of 147.5.
New Mexico State looked to be in control after leading 48-32 at halftime. However, they allowed 50 points in the second half while scoring just 35, making the game much closer than expected.
Aggies Offense Breakdown
New Mexico State put up 83 points in their last game, shooting 41% from the field with an effective field goal percentage of 45.9%. They hit 31.8% from beyond the arc, going 7-for-22, and connected on 72.2% of their free throws, making 26 of 36 attempts. The Aggies also grabbed 15 offensive rebounds and dished out just 9 assists.
Isaac Williams led the way with 21 points and 9 assists, shooting 53.8% overall and 66.7% from three. Jaden Walker added 14 points, hitting 71.4% of his shots, including 2-for-3 from deep. Carl Cherenfant was nearly perfect, shooting 80% from the field and hitting his only three-point attempt.
Aggies Team Defense
New Mexico State's defense gave up 82 points in their last game, allowing their opponent to shoot 41% from the field. The Aggies allowed 46% shooting on two-point attempts, with their opponent making 18 of 39 shots.
From beyond the arc, New Mexico State's defense held their opponent to 31% shooting, with 7 made threes on 22 attempts. However, they sent their opponent to the free-throw line 36 times, where they converted 26 free throws at a 72% rate. The Aggies also gave up 15 offensive rebounds.
Flyers Preview: Will Dayton Make it Happen at Home?
Dayton Flyers Recent Game/Games
Dayton picked up a 77-69 win over Ball State on Wednesday, November 13th, but didn’t cover the -16.5 spread. The Flyers were at home and were favored to win by a larger margin.
Dayton led 41-26 at halftime but allowed Ball State to score 43 points in the 2nd half, while they added 36 points of their own. The total points for the game were 146, just over the O/U line of 143.5.
Flyers Offense Breakdown
Dayton's offense put up 77 points in their latest game, shooting 48.1% from the field. They were effective inside, hitting 62.9% of their two-point attempts, but struggled from beyond the arc, going just 4-for-19 (21.1%).
Enoch Cheeks contributed 23 points and 12 rebounds, shooting 60.0% from the field. Malachi Smith added 17 points and 10 assists, hitting both of his three-point attempts and shooting 83.3% overall.
Flyers Team Defense
Dayton's defense struggled inside, allowing 69 points on 48% shooting, including 62% from two-point range, as they gave up 22 baskets on 35 attempts.
However, the Flyers did well in limiting three-point damage, holding their opponent to just 4 made threes on 19 attempts (21%). Dayton also conceded 21 points from the free-throw line, where their opponent shot 72%.
Aggies vs Flyers Betting Odds, Trends & Analysis
- Through their last five road games, New Mexico State has an ATS record of just 2-3. However, their overall record was 2-3 while averaging 65 points per game.
- Across the Flyers last three home games, the team averaged 80 points per game while allowing 79. Their record vs the spread in these contests was 1-2, while going 1-2 straight-up.
- Looking back on the team's last ten games as the underdog, the Aggies have a straight up record of 2-8. Their record vs the spread in these games was 2-8.
- Spanning across their last ten games as the betting favorite, the Flyers have gone 4-6 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 7-3.
New Mexico State vs Dayton Prediction & Free Pick
- KnupSports.com Free Betting Prediction: New Mexico State +14.5 Be sure to check out our other NCAA Basketball betting previews for this week. KnupSports.com also updates their sports betting picks page daily with plays across all sports.