Ball State Cardinals vs Dayton Flyers Matchup

Read on to get betting odds and analysis in our Ball State vs Dayton NCAA Basketball prediction and preview and see who we think will win and cover the spread in Dayton.

Ball State vs Dayton Prediction

Looking to win big? The Cardinals and Flyers face off at 7:00 ET on ESPN+. The Flyers are hosting the game at UD Arena in Dayton, OH. The over/under for this non-conference contest is set at 141.5 points, with Dayton being favored by -16.5 over Ball State.

Ball State vs. Dayton Matchup At A Glance

Sport: NCAAB
Teams: Ball State Cardinals at Dayton Flyers
Where: Dayton at UD Arena
Date: Wednesday, November 13th
Betting Odds DAY -16.5, BALLST +1050 | DAY -2214 O/U 141.5

Cardinals Preview: Can Ball State Pull Out the Win as Road Underdogs?

Ball State Cardinals Recent Game/Games

Ball State fell to Georgia State 71-66 on Monday, November 4th, in an away game. The Cardinals entered the game as +3 point underdogs and did not cover the spread.

After a 27-27 tie at halftime, Ball State allowed 44 points in the 2nd half while scoring 39. The game’s total points (137) fell under the O/U line of 147.5.

Cardinals Offense Breakdown

Ball State struggled offensively in their last game, shooting just 32.4% from the field and 24.2% from beyond the arc, hitting 8 of 33 attempts. Their effective field goal percentage was 38.2%, and they connected on only 58.3% of their free throws, going 14 for 24.

Cesare Edwards and Jermahri Hill led the Cardinals with 17 points each, while Zarique Nutter contributed 16 points and 12 rebounds. Edwards also grabbed 11 boards, and Mickey Pearson Jr. pulled down a team-high 13 rebounds despite shooting 22.2% from the field.

Cardinals Team Defense

Ball State's defense gave up 71 points, with the opposing team shooting 41% from the field. They allowed 46% shooting on two-point attempts, as the other team went 25/54.

From beyond the arc, Ball State held their opponent to just 2/11 shooting, or 18%. They also sent the other team to the free-throw line 22 times, where they made 15 free throws for a 68% success rate. Ball State allowed 14 offensive rebounds.

Flyers Preview: Will the Flyers Win at Home?

Dayton Flyers Recent Game/Games

The Flyers picked up a 71-66 win over Northwestern on Saturday, November 9th. Dayton, who were -4.5 favorites at home, covered the spread with the victory. The game’s total points reached 137, just over the O/U line of 135.5.

Dayton turned things around in the 2nd half after trailing 32-24 at halftime. They outscored Northwestern 47-34 in the final 20 minutes to secure the win.

Flyers Offense Breakdown

Dayton's offense was firing on all cylinders in their last game, shooting 52.2% from the field and posting an effective field goal percentage of 60.9%. They connected on 64% of their two-point attempts and hit 38.1% from beyond the arc, finishing 8-for-21 from three-point range. The Flyers also dished out 16 assists, though they struggled at the free-throw line, making just 15 of 25 attempts (60%).

Nick Martinelli was the standout performer, scoring 32 points on 12-of-16 shooting, including a perfect 3-for-3 from deep. He also grabbed 14 rebounds. Nate Santos and Enoch Cheeks each added 16 points, with Santos hitting 3-of-4 from three-point range. Malachi Smith contributed 14 points and 6 assists, while Angelo Ciaravino chipped in 12 points on 5-of-7 shooting.

Flyers Team Defense

Dayton's defense gave up 66 points in their last game, with their opponents shooting 52% from the field on 24 of 46 attempts. Inside the arc, Dayton allowed 16 of 25 shooting, which is 64%.

From three-point range, Dayton's defense allowed 8 of 21 shooting, or 38%. Their opponents also went to the free-throw line 25 times, making 15, which is 60%. Dayton gave up 3 offensive rebounds.

Cardinals vs Flyers Betting Odds, Trends & Analysis

Through their last three road contests, the Cardinals offense has averaged 71 points per game while allowing an average of 74. Ball State posted an overall record of 1-2 while going 1-2 ATS.
In their last five games at home, the Flyers have a straight up record of 1-4 while going 1-4 vs. the spread. The team averaged 70 points per game in this stretch.
Going back to their previous three games as the underdog, Ball State has an ATS mark of 1-2 while going 1-2 straight up.
As the betting favorite, the Flyers have an ATS mark of just 5-5 in their last ten games. Dayton posted a straight up mark of 7-3 in these matchups.