Arkansas State Red Wolves vs Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks Matchup

Read on to get betting odds and analysis in our Stephen F. Austin vs Arkansas State NCAA Basketball prediction and preview and see who we think will win and cover the spread in Jonesboro.

Stephen F. Austin vs Arkansas State Prediction

The Lumberjacks and Red Wolves are set to face off at 3:00 ET on ESPN+. The Red Wolves will host the game at First National Bank Arena in Jonesboro, AR. The over/under for this non-conference contest is set at 147 points, with Arkansas State being favored by -7.5 over Stephen F. Austin.

Stephen F. Austin vs. Arkansas State Matchup At A Glance

  • Sport: NCAAB
  • Teams: Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks at Arkansas State Red Wolves
  • Where: Jonesboro at First National Bank Arena
  • Date: Saturday, November 16th
  • Betting Odds ARKST -7.5, SFAUS +230 | ARKST -285 O/U 147

Lumberjacks Preview: Can Stephen F. Austin Grab a Win on the Road?

Stephen F. Austin’s season opener didn’t go as planned, as they fell 66-51 to Drake on Sunday. The Lumberjacks were +4.5 point underdogs going into the game and failed to cover the spread. The total points for the game ended at 117, well below the O/U line of 139.5.

Despite leading 26-25 at halftime, SFA struggled in the second half, scoring just 25 points while allowing Drake to put up 41. The Lumberjacks will need to address their second-half performance as they move forward this season.

Lumberjacks Offense Breakdown

Stephen F. Austin struggled offensively in their last game, managing just 51 points on 38.8% shooting from the field. Their effective field goal percentage was 44.9%, with a 41.2% mark on two-pointers and 33.3% from beyond the arc. The Lumberjacks also had a tough time at the free-throw line, hitting only 53.3% of their attempts.

Offensive rebounding was a bright spot, as they grabbed 15 boards on that end, but they finished with just 7 assists as a team. Mitch Mascari led the way with 26 points, shooting 61.5% overall and from three-point range. Chrishawn Christmas added 14 points and 8 rebounds, while Cam Manyawu contributed 13 points in just 17 minutes, shooting 71.4% from the field.

Lumberjacks Team Defense

Stephen F. Austin's defense gave up 66 points, allowing the opponent to shoot 48% from the field. The Lumberjacks allowed 21 made field goals on 43 attempts.

From beyond the arc, the opponent hit 10 of 22 threes, shooting 45%. They also went to the free-throw line 25 times, making 14 for 56%. Stephen F. Austin gave up 10 offensive rebounds.

Red Wolves Preview: Can Arkansas State Pull Out the Win as Home Favorites?

Arkansas State improved to 2-0 on the season with an 80-63 win over Little Rock on Tuesday. The Red Wolves were -15 point favorites at home and covered the spread. The game’s total points of 143 fell short of the 157.5 over/under line.

Leading 33-27 at halftime, Arkansas State pulled away in the 2nd half, outscoring Little Rock 47-36.

Red Wolves Offense Breakdown

Arkansas State put up 80 points in their last game, despite shooting just 37.5% from the field. Their effective field goal percentage was 46.9%, with a 33.3% mark from beyond the arc, hitting 13 of 39 attempts. At the free-throw line, they connected on 19 of 30 shots, good for 63.3%.

The Red Wolves grabbed 20 offensive rebounds, helping to offset their shooting struggles. Mwani Wilkinson led the way with 20 points, hitting 50% of his shots, including 2 of 4 from three-point range. Taryn Todd added 17 points, making 3 of 6 from deep and contributing 6 rebounds and 3 assists.

Red Wolves Team Defense

Arkansas State's defense held their opponent to 63 points on 37% shooting from the field, including 44% from two-point range. They also limited their opponent's three-point shooting to 33% on 39 attempts.

Despite sending their opponent to the line 30 times, Arkansas State's defense benefited from poor free-throw shooting, with their opponent hitting just 63%. The Red Wolves also gave up 20 offensive rebounds.

Lumberjacks vs Red Wolves Betting Odds, Trends & Analysis

  • Through their last five road games, Stephen F. Austin has an ATS record of just 1-4. However, their overall record was 1-4 while averaging 62 points per game.
  • Across their last three home contests, Arkansas State has a 3-0 record vs the spread. Their overall mark in these games was 1-2, while averaging 77 points per game.
  • As the betting underdog, the Lumberjacks have an ATS mark of just 1-9 in their last ten games. Stephen F. Austin posted a straight up mark of 1-9 in these matchups.
  • Through their last five games as the favorite, the Red Wolves have an ATS record of 3-2 and a straight up mark of 5-0.

Stephen F. Austin vs Arkansas State Prediction & Free Pick

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