The Red Sox and Blue Jays will face off in an AL East matchup at 7:07 PM ET. This one is being played at the Rogers Centre in Toronto, and the Red Sox have won four straight and are 80-78 overall. The Blue Jays are 73-85 and they will have Kevin Gausman on the mound vs. the Red Sox and Richard Fitts.
Kevin Gausman and the Blue Jays are at -138 on the money line compared to the Red Sox, who are the slight underdogs at +117. The over/under line is at 8 runs, and NESN will be televising this game.
Boston vs. Toronto Matchup At A Glance
- Teams: Red Sox at Blue Jays
- Where: Rogers Centre Toronto
- Date: Wednesday, September 25th
- Betting Odds TOR -138 | BOS +117 O/U 8
Red Sox vs Blue Jays Last Game Recap
Boston rallied for three runs in the 10th inning in the most recent game of this Red Sox vs. Blue Jays series. The Red Sox scored two runs in the 7th inning but didn't score another run until putting up three in the top of the 10th, picking up a 6-5 win. Heading into the game, the Red Sox were at +110 on the money line.
Toronto wasted a good outing from Bowden Francis, as he gave up just three hits and no earned runs in five innings of work for the Blue Jays. Tommy Nance took the loss. Chris Martin got the win out of the bullpen for the Red Sox as Brayan Bello went just four innings, giving up two earned runs.
Vaughn Grissom scored three times for the Red Sox while going 3/4 with a stolen base. Trevor Story also had a two-hit game and drove in a run. Danny Jansen and Ceddanne Rafaela each had two hits and two RBIs.
Red Sox Preview
As underdogs, the Red Sox have a 39-43 record and are 41-35 as favorites. Their overall record is 80-78, and they are 24-24 in AL East matchups. Boston is currently on a four-game winning streak and has won the first two games of this series against the Blue Jays.
On the road, the Red Sox have a 43-37 record straight up and are 46-34 against the run line. Their games have averaged 9.3 runs this season, and their over/under record is 78-72. Today's O/U line of 8 runs is lower than usual, as 66.5% of their games have had higher total lines.
Richard Fitts will be making his 4th start of the season for the Red Sox, and it will be his first road start of the year. He has gone 5 innings in each of his first 3 starts, and he has yet to give up an earned run. Fitts has 7 strikeouts and has given up just 2 hits in each of his first 2 starts.
Heading into today's game, the Red Sox offense is 9th in the league in scoring at 4.7 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 4.8 runs per game. Overall, they are one of the league's top home run hitting teams and have the best team BABIP in the league. As a team, they are batting .253, which is the 6th best mark in the league.
Rafael Devers has been a key power threat in the Red Sox lineup this season, as his 28 homers are the 2nd most on the team and 14th most in the league. He also leads the team with 83 RBIs. Jarren Duran comes into the game on a five-game hitting streak but is hitting just .237 over his last nine games. For the season, he is batting .285 with 21 homers.
Blue Jays Preview
Currently on a five-game losing streak, the Blue Jays have struggled this season and are in 5th place in the AL East, trailing the Yankees by 19.5 games. They have a 73-85 overall record and are 20-31 against divisional opponents. As the favorite, Toronto has a 44-31 record straight up, but they are 29-54 as underdogs.
When it comes to covering the run line, the Blue Jays have been much better on the road with a 51-30 record, but at home, they are just 28-49. Their games have averaged 8.7 runs per game this season, and the over has hit in 79 of their 154 games. For games with an over/under line of 8 runs, the over has hit in 25 of 45 games, and this season, 44.9% of their games have had over/under lines higher than today's total of 8 runs.
Kevin Gausman has made 30 starts this season and has a record of 13-11 with an ERA of 3.91. So far, he has pitched much better on the road, coming in with a record of 8-5 and an ERA of 4.29. At home, his record is 5-6, and he has an ERA of 6.31. Gausman's WHIP for the season is currently 1.22. In his 30 starts, he has two complete games and one shutout. Looking back at his last outing, Gausman didn't allow a run in five innings of work, picking up the win. Before that, he had given up at least two earned runs in three straight starts.
So far this season, the Blue Jays are averaging 4.2 runs per game, which is 21st in the league. As a team, they are batting .241, and their team on-base percentage of .313 is 10th in the league. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has been a bright spot for the team, as he is batting .324 for the season and has gone 11/30 in his last seven games, with two homers in that stretch.
Guerrero Jr. is also the team's leader in home runs (30) and RBIs (102). George Springer is 2nd on the team with 19 homers but is batting just .219 for the season. Currently, Justin Turner and Leo Jiménez are both on four-game hitting streaks.
Red Sox vs. Blue Jays Prediction: Blue Jays ML -138
Our prediction for this Red Sox vs. Blue Jays matchup is to take the Blue Jays on the money line at -138. We actually have the Blue Jays winning this game by a score of 6-5, which would give you a chance to take the over, as the line is currently sitting at 8 runs.
Looking at the starting pitchers, Kevin Gausman of the Blue Jays has the third-best chances of picking up a win among today's starters. As for Richard Fitts, he is fourth in terms of chances to pick up a win. However, we have Fitts finishing with five strikeouts compared to Gausman with six.
